How to Confirm the Disconfirmed On conjunction fallacies and robust confirmation
نویسندگان
چکیده
Can some evidence confirm a conjunction of two hypotheses more than it confirms either of the hypotheses separately? We show that it can, moreover under conditions that are the same for nine different measures of confirmation. Further we demonstrate that it is even possible for the conjunction of two disconfirmed hypotheses to be confirmed by the same evidence.
منابع مشابه
Confirmation Theory
Confirmation theory is the study of the logic by which scientific hypotheses may be confirmed or disconfirmed (or supported or refuted) by evidence. A specific theory of confirmation is a proposal for such a logic. Presumably the epistemic evaluation of scientific hypotheses should largely depend on their empirical content — on what they say the evidentially accessible parts of the world are li...
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